Southwest Monsoon and Somali PiracyThe link set out in the newsletter is not a good one, by the way.
The annual Southwest (SW) Monsoon generally occurs from the end of May to the beginning of September over the western Indian Ocean. In the past, the monsoon has led to a decrease in piracy activity along the east coast of Africa. However, in light of the adaptive nature of recent Somali piracy attacks, a break in pirate activity should not be assumed.
Still, commercial vessels should take advantage of the protection offered by monsoon conditions along much of the east coast of Africa, where wind speeds are SW Force 4 or above. It is believed that the likelihood of a successful piracy attack in these weather conditions is low, though attacks cannot be discounted and ships should continue to be vigilant and observe industry best
management practice. Routing through areas where the wind speeds remain
above Force 4 is likely to offer protection from successful piracy attacks.
For more information, please see the June 2009 Special Maritime Advisory
located at http://www.cusnc.navy.mil/marlo/Guidance/guidance.htm
UPDATE: Speaking the weather, a couple of quick looks at the winds in the Gulf of Aden and off the east coast of Somalia (from here: