tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5438008.post8173602096379493002..comments2024-03-27T06:40:56.148-04:00Comments on EagleSpeak: Using weather forecasting to predict pirate operationsMark Tempesthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18172703868541571574noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5438008.post-91018772439340437112011-01-27T07:54:00.820-05:002011-01-27T07:54:00.820-05:00You know, Nick, that the models will reveal that p...You know, Nick, that the models will reveal that pirates are most likely to attack along major shipping lanes (because that's where the money is - um - merchant ships are) during periods of weather suitable enough for their boat ops.<br /><br />Sort of what you just said, but with mathematical precision. You know, "There's a 55% chance of a pirate attack east of the Seychelles today, so you merchant captains may want to double check those barbed wire barriers and add another lookout or two . . ."Mark Tempesthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18172703868541571574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5438008.post-85839536200679490822011-01-27T01:46:00.516-05:002011-01-27T01:46:00.516-05:00I admire peoples predictions, but having been invo...I admire peoples predictions, but having been involved in this industry 24/7 for the last 2 1/2 years its pretty easy to predict where the pirates will be....<br /><br />There are 5 main shipping routes that extend across the Indian Ocean - they will move along those well trodden trade routes waiting for prey... they know where most of the warships are and they will happily use the captured ships as piggy back vessels to launch further attacks - they also have much better operating conditions due to their ability to launch and attack in heavier weather as long as they attack down wind, down swell.<br /><br />The Samho Jewelry incident will further change their tactics, to prevent military storming... Watch this space and remember........ not long now till the winds ease....! Then it will be chaos.Nick Davishttp://www.mmwc.orgnoreply@blogger.com