VertRep

VertRep

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Nigeria: Coastal Pirates Atacking Fishing Fleet


As reported in the NYTimes:
The waters off the 530-mile Nigerian coastline have been called the most dangerous in the world by a maritime watchdog group after a precipitous rise in the number of attacks over the past year. And while kidnappings of foreigners and attacks on oil installations in Nigeria have gained international attention, it is often those with a far lower profile who bear the greatest burden of the lawlessness at sea.

Pirate attacks on fishing trawlers increased from 4 reported cases in 2003 to 107 in 2007, according to the Nigerian Trawler Owners Association. In January this year, there were 50 attacks on fishing boats. At least 10 fishermen were killed.
***
After more than 200 foreigners were kidnapped in the Delta in 2007, foreign oil companies pulled out their nonessential employees and increased security rather than rely on the undermanned Nigerian Navy. With foreign vessels no longer an easy target, pirates have been forced to look elsewhere for their victims.

They found them in the defenseless fishing trawlers that chug up and down the coastlines, never far enough from shore to be out of reach of the pirates’ gun-mounted speedboats.

The surge in deadly attacks on fishing crews caused the Nigerian Trawler Owners Association to call the fleets of its members, nearly 200 vessels, back to shore in February. That meant a work stoppage for an estimated 20,000 workers and the drying up of the bulk of the local fish market.
The Nigerian Navy is working the problem, but...

My suggestions would be fishing boat convoy operations and taking on the pirate's shore bases.

Somalia: Volunteer needed for escort duty


For several months World Food Program releif ships have been escorted by war ships as they have sailed the waters off Somalia. Before the escort service began the WFP ships were frequent targets of Somali pirates, since the escort service, not one has been seized. The Dutch are currently providing the escort, but are due to withdraw their frigate in a couple of weeks, and no country has yet stepped forward to replace them. Now, as set out here , the WFP is looking for volunteers:
The United Nations' World Food Programme (WFP) Thursday called on naval powers to provide escorts to protect its aid shipments off the pirate-ridden Somali coast, warning that millions of Somalis could starve without help.

A Dutch frigate, which ensured no WFP ships have been hijacked since last November despite numerous attacks on other vessels, is due to end its tour of duty on June 25, the WFP said.
***
'Without escorts, our whole maritime supply route will be threatened,' the WFP's Somalia Country Director Peter Goossens said in a statement.

'Shipping companies are reluctant to sail unescorted to Somalia, and we have no offers to take over from the Royal Netherlands Navy,' he added.
***
'Millions of Somalis are suffering from a combination of insecurity, drought and high food and fuel prices,' said Goossens. 'If relief shipments slow down, we could face a major catastrophe.'

The WFP, which is trying to scale up operations to help feed the displaced, said that 80 per cent of its aid arrives by sea.

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

About Oil Shale



Just a primer for politicians from the government About Oil Shale:
"While oil shale is found in many places worldwide, by far the largest deposits in the world are found in the United States in the Green River Formation, which covers portions of Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming. Estimates of the oil resource in place within the Green River Formation range from 1.2 to 1.8 trillion barrels. Not all resources in place are recoverable; however, even a moderate estimate of 800 billion barrels of recoverable oil from oil shale in the Green River Formation is three times greater than the proven oil reserves of Saudi Arabia. Present U.S. demand for petroleum products is about 20 million barrels per day. If oil shale could be used to meet a quarter of that demand, the estimated 800 billion barrels of recoverable oil from the Green River Formation would last for more than 400 years."
Or, if the oil from this formation was used for 100% of demand, it would last 100 years.

Shell Oil's shale oil recovery project.

UPDATE: First comment points to this article which makes it clear who is mucking up the U.S.'s ability to exploit its own resources:
Last month, the U.S. Senate's Appropriations Committee voted 15-14 to kill a bill that would have ended a one-year moratorium on enacting rules for oil shale development on federal lands (which is where the best oil shale is located). Most maddening of all - at least to someone like myself not steeped in the wacky ways of Washington - the swing vote on the appropriations committee, U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., voted with the majority even though she actually opposes the moratorium.

"Sen. Salazar asked me to vote no. I did so at his request," Landrieu told The Rocky Mountain News. A Landrieu staffer contacted by Fortune doesn't dispute this, but notes that Landrieu did propose a compromise which Republicans rejected.
***
She was speaking of U.S. Sen. Ken Salazar, D-Colo., who has emerged as the Senate's leading oil shale opponent. Salazar inserted the aforementioned moratorium into an omnibus spending bill last December, and in May he proposed a new bill that would extend the moratorium another year.

Salazar's efforts have essentially pulled the rug out from under Shell (RDSA) and other oil companies which have invested many, many millions into oil shale research since the passage of the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which established the original framework for commercial leasing of oil shale lands. (Last year, oil shale represented Shell's single biggest R&D expenditure.)

Salazar says he's simply trying to slow things down in order to ensure environmental considerations don't get trampled in the rush to turn western Colorado into a new Prudhoe Bay. But, ironically, his bid to extend the moratorium comes at a time when his fellow Senate Democrats have been blasting Big Oil for not reinvesting enough of their profits into developing new sources of energy.
***
Fortune: Why do you consider developing oil shale such a high priority?

Sen. Hatch: We have as much oil in oil shale in Utah, Wyoming and Colorado as the rest of the world's oil combined. Liberals and environmentalists can talk all they want about wind, solar and geothermal - all of which I'm for - but last time I checked, planes, trains, trucks, ships and cars don't run on electricity. 98% of transportation fuel right now is oil. Ethanol is the only real alternative, and we're seeing that ethanol has major limitations.

It's pathetic. Environmentalists are very happy having us dependent on foreign oil. They're unhappy with us developing our own. What they forget to say is that shipping fuel all the way from the middle east has a big greenhouse gas footprint too.
***
Fortune: One of Sen. Salazar's environmental concerns involves water and the big draw on local water supplies required for oil shale production. Based on my reporting in western Colorado last year, this seems like a legitimate concern. What's your take on this?

Sen. Hatch: Let's compare it to ethanol. Corn needs about 1,000 barrels of water for the energy equivalent of a barrel of oil. That's a crazy amount of water, but it's worked out alright so far because corn is grown in rainy areas, for the most part. But if you want to increase the amount of ethanol, you're going to have to go to irrigation, and then there will be major water limits on how much we can afford to grow.

On the other hand, the Department of Energy estimates that oil shale will require three barrels of water for every barrel of oil.

Fortune: Of course, water is a lot scarcer in western Colorado than it is in Iowa.

Sen Hatch: It is, but remember the oil companies are going to use and recycle the water. And while we're on the environmental impact, let's talk about land use and wildlife habitat. One acre of corn produces the equivalent of 5 to 7 barrels of oil. One acre of oil shale produces 100,000 to 1 million barrels.

Fortune: With gasoline at $4, why this isn't this more of a front-and-center issue for consumers and voters?

Sen. Hatch: I'm generally the last guy to lambaste the media, but generally you do not hear these facts. We're sending $600 billion annually to enemies of our country. If one acre of oil shale produces 1 million barrels of oil, that's 1 million barrels that we would not be importing from Russia and the Middle East. People are going to go berserk when they find out that all along we had the capacity, within our own borders, to alleviate our dependency in an environmentally friendly way.

Ironically, the local governments in Colorado's oil shale areas do support oil shale development, but it's being stopped by the ski-resort elites. A couple months ago, an article came out about how the city of Aspen was being besieged with building applications equating to about $2 million in development a day. Now if those nice, rich people in Aspen really cared about the environment, they might save an acre or two of those beautiful forests they're building on and support some oil-shale development in the not-so-nearby and not-so-beautiful oil shale areas of Colorado.

Fortune: Has oil shale development always been a partisan issue or is this something new?

Sen. Allard: It is something new. The issue with the Democrats now is they want to cut off any source of carbon. And there are those in the Senate who believe the more expensive you make gasoline, the less driving people do and you force conservation by making driving so expensive people can't afford it. (emphasis added)
For $600 billion a year, we could build a pipeline from the Great Lakes to provide water for this project and that figure does not include the amount of money spent guarding the sea lines of communication that allow the oil from overseas to get to the U.S.

From Senator Salazar's Senate website, some words:
...Our national security is compromised by our alarming overdependence on foreign oil. Our economy is held hostage to other countries that control the oil reserves.
***
“Over the last eight years, we have only become more dependent on foreign oil. Today, we import more than 60% of our oil. Thanks to the failed energy policies of the past, we are at the mercy of OPEC.

“We must succeed in a sustained policy that kills our addiction to foreign oil.
***
“Oil shale deposits in Colorado, Wyoming, and Utah amount to somewhere between 500 billion and 1.1 trillion barrels of oil. That is more than double the proven reserves of oil in Saudi Arabia.

“The trouble is, the oil is locked up in rock and, even after $10 billion of research and development, nobody has figured out an economical way to get it out.

“If the technology were ripe, companies like Shell would already be developing oil shale today on their own lands. Shell and other companies already own nearly 200,000 acres of prime oil shale reserves in Utah and Colorado. Nobody – not the federal government, not the Congress, not the State – is stopping them from developing these tracts. But they are just not ready, and that’s what they have all told us in testimony. They are still struggling to overcome technological and economic barriers.

“We can help companies like Shell overcome these barriers through research and development incentives like the ones I helped put in the 2005 Energy Policy Act, but even under the most optimistic estimates, the technology won’t be ready for commercialization until 2015.

“So, let’s be honest about oil shale. Let’s not pretend there’s a magic wand that we can wave that will unlock the mystery of oil shale. Let’s be honest about our energy future. Let’s be honest with the American people.
***

Exactly Right, McCain Was Exactly Wrong

I was driving around performing business duties when I caught Rush Limbaugh reading the same McCain quote that Larry Kudlow hammers him for here:

When asked about gas prices at the pump, and whether they could go any lower, Sen. McCain said he didn’t think so because “You’ve got a finite supply, basically, and a cartel controlling it.”

This is exactly wrong. There is no finite supply, or if there is we are 100 years away from it. I don’t know who has put this thought into the senator’s mind, but it is a bad thought in terms of energy and a bad thought in terms of the politics of this campaign.

Look, we have the Bakken fields, the outer continental shelf and all the offshore drilling opportunities, ANWR, and so forth. There’s probably over a trillion barrels worth of reserves out there. And Republicans in the Senate are trying to move a deregulated drilling bill through the process. McCain should be backing this and talking about it.

Democrats are out there pushing cap-and-trade, which would jack up gasoline and oil energy prices, damage the economy, and create a massive central-planning exercise. The Democratic Congress has done nothing to alleviate the oil shortage. They’re captured by the greenies. They should be blamed.

This is a real turnaround issue for the Republicans and Mr. McCain. But McCain’s not going there.

Incidentally, in the Today Show interview, the senator takes a whack at oil-company profits, suggesting they should return some of these profits to consumers. And he would consider voting for a windfall profits tax. And then he used the phrase “obscene profits.” Make that two oh my goshes.
Uh, from my economics courses I took when getting a MA in management, when prices of a commodity go up aren't there people out there who will offering substitutes for willing buyers?

Isn't that the way a free market is supposed to work?

If the government gets into the mix, won't it just kill the creativity of people who are out there looking at ways to create those substitutes?

I know McCain says he doesn't know much about economics, but...there are solutions for that. Here are a couple of book ideas for the Republican candidate...







Heck, you can even watch Free to Choose on line here.











Here's something else that may also help put things in perspective (h/t: Fred Fry):




Further, and I may expand on this thought later, since Mr. McCain says he also wants to reduce the number of our soldiers, sailors and Marines who are in "harm's way" wouldn't encouraging development of things like our internal shale oil fields (more oil than Saudi Arabia!) allow us to draw our forces away from protection of some of the lines of communication (commerce) that now are so easily threatened by wackjobs?

Finally, I always thought that the Naval Academy discouraged you from blabbing about something you knew nothing about by saying something like, "I don't know, but I'll find out" instead on tap dancing on your private parts with golf spikes.

C'mon, John. Give me some reason to hope...

Latest ONI WorldWide Threat to Shipping Report (to 4 June 08)

The latest ONI WorldWide Threat to Shipping Report (to 4 June 08) can be found here.Highlights:
3. NIGERIA: MEND claims responsibility for attack on Shell facility, soldiers reportedly
killed 26 May 08 at 0100 local time, Awoba flow station in Degema Local Government Area of
Rivers State. According to the MEND, they successfully sabotaged another major trunk pipeline
belonging to the Shell Petroleum Development Company. An attack was confirmed on Nembe
Creek pipeline at Awoba and production has stopped because of an oil spill in the area according
to a Shell spokesman. The MEND claimed that after the sabotage, their fighters encountered a
military gunboat and reportedly killing all 11 soldiers in close quarter combat. They also
claimed to have collected their weapons, ammunition and bullet-proof vests before using
dynamite to sink the gunboat with its dead occupants, both of which were strongly denied by a
Joint Task Force spokesman (LM: allafrica.com, AFP).
***
5. NIGERIA: Oil ship (LOURDES TIDE) hijacked 13 May 08, evening, near Port Harcourt.
The vessel, which ferries supplies for the oil company Chevron, was sailing from Onne port in
Port Harcourt, Rivers State, to Escravos in Delta State when gunmen boarded and hijacked the
vessel. The militants are reportedly demanding a ransom of 30m naira (approximately
$259,000USD) for the boat and the crew of 11. Chevron confirmed the attack and reportedly
promised to assist in the release of the hostages. The MEND has stated they were not
responsible for the attack. No one has claimed responsibility (AFP, BBC, IMB).
***
20. SRI LANKA: Sri Lankan military sinks LTTE vessels 29 May 08, off the northern
coast. Sri Lanka’s military sank three to four Tamil Tiger rebel boats in a pre-dawn attack and
stated that eight rebels and one soldier was killed, and two soldiers were wounded, while one
solider and two sailors were missing. A military official stated that the rebel boats were sunk
when troops fired artillery at them as they attempted to attack army and naval positions in
Sirutheevu off northern Jaffna. According to Tamil.net, the rebels denied suffering any
casualties and stated that there were two civilian deaths due to an artillery fire in Jaffna, but did
not say who fired the shells (AP, LM: Bloomberg.com).
***
1. GREENPEACE: Greenpeace vessel (ARCTIC SUNRISE) attacked by fishermen, 30
May 08 in the morning, Cypriot Channel, Turkey. Three Turkish vessels surrounded the
Greenpeace ship, one collided with the (ARCTIC SUNRISE) causing superficial damage mid-
ships on the starboard side. The tuna ship's crews then started hurling lead fishing weights of
around four centimeters at the Greenpeace ship. Gunfire was heard. No one was injured but the
Greenpeace helicopter was reportedly damaged and is now inoperable. The incident was
reported to the Turkish Iskenderun Port Authority. Greenpeace was in the area to call for an end to unsustainable fishing and to call for the establishment of a marine reserve between Cyprus and Turkey (GP).

Mooving Ship Attacked off Philippines and Indonesia


An Australia-bound cattle ship came under attack for a couple of hours off the Philippines as set out here:
The 4600-tonne merchant vessel Hereford Express, crewed by 22 Filipinos, was heading from a Philippines island to Broome to pick up cattle when it was fired on south of Mindanao Island on Saturday morning.

***
The vessel returned to port at Mindanao's General Santos City to formally report the attack and for repairs to its bridge, which was badly damaged by the shellfire.

Lt Balilo said he understood the attack was the first by pirates in that area and the first such assault on a livestock transport ship.

The MV Hereford Express had left General Santos City for Broome on Friday evening and was attacked at 9.45am (Brisbane time) on Saturday, about 70 nautical miles south of Balut Island.

"Attacks usually happen in the Malacca Strait," Lt Balilo said. "I have not heard of it happening in that particular area before."
Box on map is estimated area of attack. The article includes a warning to yachts to be careful in the area, too.

Same incident reported at the ICC CCS Weekly Piracy Report(to 9 June 08):
7.06.2008: 1000 LT: 03:18.5N-125:05.8E, Vicinity of Kepulauan Sangir, Indonesia.
Pirates in a speedboat chased and opened fire on a livestock carrier in ballast enroute to Australia. Master took evasive manoeuvres to prevent boarding and reduce casualties to crew and ship. Master informed managers who in turn contacted the Piracy Reporting Centre for assistance. The centre contacted authorities for assistance. The Authorities instructed their local units to assist and respond accordingly. After two hours of continuous firing and chasing, the pirate boat aborted the attempt. Master fearing further attack from pirate boat, discontinued passage to next port and returned to last port, Gen Santos port, Philippines with ETA – am - 08.06.2008. Ship sustained serious damages to bridge, communication equipment and hull. Further reports are awaited.

A Russian look at piracy

An opinion piece found here:
The most realistic way of combating piracy is cooperation between militarily strong countries in protecting navigation in problem areas. A united squadron of ships set up on the basis of a broad coalition (NATO countries, Russia, and the Gulf states) could effectively counter piracy off Somalia, or in any other trouble spot.

Legal measures are also important. The UN Security Council's mandate for the invasion of Somalia's territorial waters, use of arms against the pirates, and allocation of the required forces and equipment (reconnaissance aviation, deck helicopters, radars, and Marines and Special Forces trained in boarding and releasing hostages) will eventually make piracy too dangerous an occupation.

It would be enough to set up a squadron of five to six warships and one light helicopter carrier as a flagship. Warships from different navies could rotate patrol duty with shifts lasting for several months. In the most dangerous areas, merchant vessels could be escorted by ships, helicopters, or armed motor-boats.

Importantly, patrols will be effective only if struggle against piracy overrides the inviolability of territorial waters. Otherwise, the pirates will always be able to escape punishment.

It goes without saying that piracy will not be eliminated even if an operation off Somalia's coast is successful. The oceans are huge and "gentlemen of fortune" will always find a place for their activities.

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Piracy Definitions

In a comment to my recent post on the latest RAND report on piracy, Mr. Noel Choong, director of the International Maritime Bureau's anti-piracy office in Kuala Lumpur, took the time to leave a comment, which he also forwarded by email. His note and my reply are set out below:

From Mr. Choong:
Dear Sir,

I hope everyone is aware that when a pirate/robber/criminal comes onboard a ship to rob her, it does not matter the value of the item that was stolen, in does not matter whether it is beside a wharf, at anchor, at 10 nautical miles ,100 nauticals etc, in the process of the theft/incident crew may be killed or injured. Many cases including petty thefts or even when nothing was reported stolen, but ship crews were injured or missing likely thrown overboard. It is like a robber/criminal coming into your home but did not steal anything valuable - however your loved ones in your home may be killed or injured in the process of this theft. Therefore, we treat all attacks as serious no matter how petty it may be. Crew safety / lives are our utmost concern.

The pirates/robbers/criminals attacking ships are coming from shore. Therefore, with all these reported incidents (at berth / anchor/ sea), we are able to pressure governments and Authorities to take appropriate action to stop this menace. All reports are sent to respective governments for their onward actions. We have so far saved many lives and recover properties and with our pressure, governments/Authorities have beefed up patrols and taken appropriate actions and be more committed in dealing with this problem.

Thank you.
My reply:
Dear Mr. Choong:

I certainly appreciate you taking the time to visit my blog, leave a comment and send an email.

I am also very appreciative the work you at the IMB are doing- which has, in fact, made a difference in crew safety and kept awareness of piracy alive.


We differ only slightly in our focus, not in our concerns.

My writing generally is concerned with international sea lines of communication and threats to international trade - which currently are less impacted by activities in specific ports and anchorages than by sea robbers and pirates roaming farther at sea.

Unless in port/anchorage matters begin to pose threats to those sea lanes, I am inclined to view relatively minor incidents as issues of insufficient ship manning and poor police coverage- similar to other criminal matters, internal to the nations of the world.

As such, I am more inclined to use the UNCLOS definition of piracy than the IMB definition (although I also dip into littoral waters when piracy activities occurring in those waters impinge on vital sea lanes such as the Strait of Malacca).


On the other hand, I can appreciate the fact that your commendable concern for the safety of ship crews leads you to adopt a broader definition. Much of my criticism of this definition comes from my view that too many authors writing about modern piracy adopt the IMB numbers without providing an explanation of what those numbers include - mixing "high seas" piracy with "in port" piracy in presenting reports of either increases or decreases in piracy. It seems to me that this inflates numbers and tends to mask the growth of piracy in critical chokepoints or passages.


I recognize that there is not much the IMB can do about how your statistics are used, but I do feel compelled in my blog to note the difference in the UNCLOS "high seas" and IMB approaches.


As far as the benefits of the IMB, I am absolutely convinced that your program has saved mariner lives and helped to convince some countries to implement better littoral, port and anchorage security and to cooperate in regional associations to suppress piracy.


If you have taken a look at my blog, you should be aware that I am a frequent visitor to the ICC CCS Weekly Piracy Report website and have, over the years, posted highlights from that site almost weekly. Your maps of piracy incidents are a terrific resource.


I hope you will accept my criticism as being from one on the same anti-piracy side as the IMB. Please do not hesitate to write me at any time if you feel I have missed something, misinterpreted the IMB policy or simply have it all wrong.


With highest regards,
Eagle1

Monday, June 09, 2008

Gulf of Aden: USS Russell rescues smuggled people


A humanitarian rescue in the Gulf of Aden courtesy of USS Russell(DDG-9) as set here
USS Russell (DDG 59) responded to a vessel in distress between Bossasso, Somalia and the Yemeni coast in the Gulf of Aden June 8.

A Combined Task Force (CTF) 150 air asset notified Russell of the small boat's distress call. Russell, operating nearby, proceeded at maximum speed and arrived on-scene to assist the vessel. The 45-foot small boat experienced serious engine problems, leaving it unable to operate at sea, and had been adrift for two days.

There were approximately 70 personnel on board the vessel, some of whom were in need of immediate medical attention. Seven personnel were transferred to Russell and treated for severe dehydration and malnutrition. The vessel was also re-provisioned for the night and Russell is towing it towards Somalia where the small boat and patients will be turned over to Somali authorities.
Photo credit:
Interior Communications Electrician 3rd Class Nicholas Mason, left, takes vital signs of a patient brought aboard the guided-missile destroyer USS Russell (DDG 59) as Ens. Melanie Chambers, Ens. Lisa Bydairk and Hospital Corpsman 3rd Class Matthew Thompson assist. Russell responded to a vessel in distress Sunday, June 8, 2008 between Bassasso, Somalia and the Yemeni coast in the Gulf of Aden. The 45-foot small boat had serious engine problems leaving it adrift for two days. U.S. Navy photo (Released)
I hope the "Somali authorities" sort out who the smugglers are and carry out an appropriate punishment.

RAND Does Piracy

A RAND Corp monograph The Maritime Dimension of International Security:Terrorism, Piracy, and Challenges for the United Statesby Peter Chalk can be downloaded here. The study was funded by the Air Force:
The research presented here was sponsored within the RAND Project AIR FORCE (PAF) Strategy and Doctrine Program as a part of a fiscal year 2006 study, “Exploring New Concepts for Joint Air-Naval Operations.”
The piece begins with a summary and statistics: "A total of 2,463 actual or attempted acts of piracy were registered around the world between 2000 and the end of 2006."

While your head may explode with visions of 2000+ ships being attacked on the high seas by Blackbeard-style pirates, the report uses the rather expansive International Maritime Bureau definition of piracy:
Piracy is an act of boarding or attempting to board any ship with the apparent intent to commit theft or any other crime and with the apparent intent or capability to use force in furtherance of that act.6(NB E1: Footnote 6: This definition is the one used by the International Maritime Bureau (IMB). It is wider than the conceptualization adopted under the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), which restricts its focus only to attacks that take place on the high seas (which is problematic, because the majority of piratical incidents occur in territorial or coastal waters). The IMB definition also abolishes the traditional two-ship requirement, meaning that attacks from a raft or even the dockside would be counted as an act of piracy.)
I have complained before that this IMB definition is far too broad. There is, in my view, a vast difference between some poor slob shinnying up an anchor chain and stealing a can of paint or a sack of potatoes compared to an organized gang coming aboard a ship with weapons with the intent to seize control of the vessel or to kidnap important crew members, or the entire crew, for ransom.

If you study the reported attacks, you find that the vast majority of the reported incidents are of the former category but it is the latter type that pose a true threat to the sea lines of communications that are so vital to the world's commerce.

I understand why the IMB chose an expansive definition - they are calling attention to crimes that affect ship owners, their insurers and ship crews. But stealing a sack of spuds should not be a matter of international concern - it is properly a matter of local law enforcement.

My narrower definition focuses on those acts with which the international community should be concerned - and, in fact, the acts that are the primary concern of Mr. Chalk's paper:
A more serious manifestation of piracy is the ransacking and robbery of vessels on the high seas or in territorial waters. This style of attack, if carried out in narrow sea-lanes, has the potential to seriously disrupt maritime navigation (especially in instances where vessels run amok because the crew is kidnapped, detained, or thrown overboard). The IMB describes these assaults as medium-level armed robbery: violent thefts involving serious injury or murder by well-organized gangs who usually operate from a “mother ship” and are equipped with modern weaponry.

At the high end of the spectrum are assaults involving the outright theft of ships and their subsequent conversion for the purposes of illegal trading (although ship owners are also known to have arranged such attacks in order to defraud hull insurers). Often referred to as the “phantom ship” phenomenon, this form of piracy follows a typical pattern. A vessel is first seized and its cargo offloaded into lighters at sea. The ships are then renamed and reregistered under flags of convenience(FoCs) and issued with false documentation to enable them to take on fresh payloads. The new cargo, which is never delivered to its intended destination, is taken to a designated port where it is sold to a buyer who is often a willing participant in the venture. The IMB describes these assaults as major criminal hijacks that are well-resourced and meticulously planned, employing highly trained and heavily armed syndicates working in conjunction with land-based operatives and brokers.
It's not like the major problems aren't big enough to cause concern:
In the 515 attacks between 2005 and 2006, for instance, the IMB documented a total of 826 serious transgressions against ship crews and passengers, including 628 hostage takings, 90 kidnappings for ransom (KFR), and 54 deaths and injuries. The 440 hostagetakings in 2005 remains the highest annual figure on record. (footnotes and referral omitted)
Time constraints are preventing me from a more extensive analysis of the report now, but I will be revisiting this post with updates. In the meantime, Homeland Security Today has an article looking at the Rand report titled "Piracy at Sea: A 21st Century Threat":
The stakes in combating piracy for the US, according to the report, are enormous. “As one of the globe’s principal maritime trading states, accounting for nearly 20 percent (measured in metric tons) of all international seaborne freight in any given year,” it says, “ the United States has a direct, vested interest in securing the world’s oceanic environment. Commercial carriers transport more than 95 percent of the country’s non–Northern American trade by weight and 75 percent by value. Commodities shipped by sea currently constitute a full quarter of U.S. gross domestic product, more than double the figure recorded in 1970.
UPDATE (6/10/2008): Forbes does piracy, too, with reference to the RAND article and the IMB here.

Monday Reading

The more reliable than I, Fred Fry has Maritime Monday 114 up with much good stuff. Reward Fred, go visit.

Sunday Ship History

It's coming...watch this spot:

Sunday, June 08, 2008

Somali Pirates: "It's All Your Fault"


Headline says: UN, West Responsible for Piracy - Islamists
A rising surge in pirate attacks along Somalia's east African coast is primarily rooted in the policies of the United Nations and Western countries, an Islamist spokesman said Friday.

Mohamud Sheikh Ibrahim Suley, spokesman for the Islamic Courts, told Mogadishu media via a teleconference that a recent UN resolution targeting Somali pirates had "taken the wrong route."

"This decision is backed by Western nations whose agenda is to steal Somalia's land and sea resources," Suley said, while referring to UN Security Council Resolution 1816 that effectively authorized foreign countries to use "all necessary means" to combat piracy along the Somali coast.

The Islamists' spokesman blamed the UN and unnamed countries in the West for allegedly "strengthening piracy," saying: "As the Islamic Courts fought against piracy, the UN allowed an [Ethiopian] attack against the Courts' administration, which was known for restoring peace in Somalia."

During the Islamic Courts reign in south-central Somalia, between June and December 2006, piracy hit an all-time low along the Horn of Africa country's coastline.
The devil makes them do it and Mussolini made the trains run on time - but at a price.

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Gulf of Aden: People Smugglers "Worse than the sharks"

What's lower than a Somali pirate on the scale of human scum? Let's try "people smugglers" -
From the United Nations refugee agency UNHCR Refugees Magazine:
The gangs operating in the anarchic stretch of sea separating Somalia from Yemen are notoriously and consistently brutal. During the first 11 months of 2007, more than 26,000 people – mostly Somalis and Ethiopians – each paid US$ 50-150 to make the crossing. During that period, at least 1,030 people died or were reported missing – almost double the 2006 total.

Many died atrocious deaths: stabbed and beaten by the smugglers; drowned after being dumped too far from the Yemen coast; or asphyxiated when too many people were crammed in a boat's hold. Some were 'luckier:' they were only raped, robbed, beaten or scalded by the engine. But they made it.
***
Yemen, which is one of world's poorest nations, is the only country in the Arabian Peninsula that has acceded to the 1951 UN Refugee Convention. For years it has kept its doors open and offered prima facie refugee status to all Somalis who make it across the Gulf of Aden (its generosity partly stemming from the fact that on some occasions in the past it was Somalia that provided a haven for Yemenis).


At the end of 2006, there were 95,000 refugees living in Yemen, 95 percent of whom were Somalis (other groups, such as Ethiopians, do not get automatic refugee status), and the numbers are rising – despite efforts on both sides of the Gulf of Aden to warn people of the dangers involved in dealing with smugglers.
Photos: (top) Yemeni soldiers guard a group of Ethiopian refugees beside the tiny fishing boat that brought them across the Gulf of Aden from Somalia.
UNHCR / A. Fazzina / 2007


(middle)A smuggler lights a cigarette as he watches over a group of refugees at a safe house in Bossaso. The former fisherman was drawn to people smuggling by the money – he makes around $5,000 a month ferrying people across the Gulf of Aden.
UNHCR / A. Fazzina / 2007


(bottom> A row of corpses line Al-Bedha beach at dawn. Following the arrival of a group of 365 refugees by boat the previous night, 34 corpses were washed ashore – either beaten to death by smugglers or drowned offshore.UNHCR / A. Fazzina / 2007

Weekend Reading


CDR Salamander: Fullbore Friday takes a look a special hero.

Steeljaw Scribe looks at naval aviation during the Allied invasion of Normandy (which went on for more than one day, in case you've misremembered).

SJS also has a nice post on the latest success story in ballistic missile interception here.

Chap get promoted and says it's terminal. There is a great deal of power in knowing that...if applied properly.

John Rosenthal finds Germany issuing a stern whine to Iran.

Dr. Walid Phares warns about premature speculation that al Qaeda is dead . Weakened and wobbling, but... at The Counterterrorism Blog.

UPDATE: Added way cool photo. Captions:
A modified Standard Missile 2 (SM-2) Block IV interceptor is launched Thursday, June 5, 2008 from the guided-missile cruiser USS Lake Erie (CG 70) during a Missile Defense Agency test to intercept a short-range ballistic missile target. The missile intercepted the target approximately 12 miles above the Pacific Ocean 100 miles west of Kauai, Hawaii on the Pacific Missile Range Facility. This was the second successful intercept in two attempts of the sea-based terminal capability and the fourteenth overall successful test of the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense Program. U.S. Navy photo by the Missile Defense Agency (Released)

Friday, June 06, 2008

D-Day: The Things They Fought For


Yes, it's the the 64th anniversary of the Allied Invasion of Europe.

While we honor those who fought and died on French beaches, let us remember what kind of republic they left to us. Remember the men on the beaches, fighting to free Europe from the iron fist of a dictator whose intolerance led to the deaths of millions. Read their legacy in Peggy Noonan's words on the Barrack Obama victory here:
"*** WASHINGTON (AP)—Obama clinches Democratic nomination, making him first black candidate to lead his party."

A great old-school bulletin, and of course it carried a huge and moving message. It is good when barriers fall; it's good when possibilities seem to open up to more people, especially the young, who are always watching. (That's what's wrong with them, they're always watching, and we're always doing terrible things, like, say, not congratulating the winner on the night he won.)

But what I thought of when the friend sent the flash was something another friend told me months ago. It was the night Mr. Obama won Alabama. My friend was watching on TV, in his suburban den. His 10-year-old daughter walked in, looked, saw "Obama Wins" and "Alabama." She said, "Daddy, we saw a documentary on Martin Luther King Day in school." She said, "That's where they used the hoses." Suddenly my friend saw it new. That's the place they used the water hoses on the civil rights marchers crossing the bridge. And now look. The black man thanking Alabama for his victory.

What kind of place makes a change like this? Only a great nation. We should love it tenderly every day of our lives.
Amen. Along with the men and women who made it that way and those serve today.

China and India build fleets="Regional Arms Race?"


Well, The Economist wonders if an Asian naval arms race is developing in this piece
India shares China's concern that, as trade volumes and energy consumption soar, its security is vulnerable to any disruption of sea traffic.
***
Tim Huxley of the IISS says that with so much attention focused on China and India, the naval expansion of other Asian countries is often overlooked. Yet several, especially South Korea, are also building long-range naval capabilities. Besides new submarines and destroyers, the South Koreans, like the Japanese, are commissioning helicopter-carriers.

Is this an arms race? As Asia's defence ministers and military chiefs gathered in Singapore last weekend for their main annual summit, the Shangri-La Dialogue (organised by the IISS), the conclusion of most analysts seemed to be: not yet. A classic arms race, says Mr Huxley, consists of two main countries that have one dominating dispute. Asia is different. Instead, it has the makings of a pair of opposing alliances. A “quad” group (India, America, Australia and Japan) plus Singapore now conduct naval manoeuvres together. So do China and Pakistan. But China and India seem keen to avoid provoking each other. Indeed, they are seeking to build good relations between their navies.

Military chiefs at the summit insisted they were not seeking an arms race and gave various justifications for all their new warships. Rather implausibly, China and others insisted they were mainly to ward off pirates and terrorists. South Korea's defence minister, Lee Sang-hee, said North Korea's navy threatened its maritime supply lines...
As Robert Heinlein once wrote: "An armed society is a polite society." Some sort of reasonable naval balance among neighbors may actually help to keep the peace.

Somalia: Soldiers Join Forces With Pirates ?


Somali pirates may have gained some allies in their lucrative ransom racket, according to this:
Soldiers working with regional administration of Puntland, in Somalia's northeast, have reportedly joined forces with pirates, a local mayor told Radio Garowe.

Abdullahi Said O'Nur, the mayor of Puntland's coastal town of Eyl, said the security situation and the local economy have been adversely affected by the arrival of hundreds of soldiers.

The Mayor, who is currently in the Puntland capital of Garowe, told Radio Garowe during a Thursday interview that 400 soldiers backed by armored trucks had arrived in Eyl in recent days.

"I appeal to the ship's owners not to pay any ransom," Eyl Mayor O'Nur said, while addressing the fate of MV Amiya Scan, a Dutch-owned with a nine-member crew of Russians and Filipinos on board.
***
Insiders linked the arrival of hundreds of Puntland soldiers in Eyl to Puntland President Adde Muse's recent declaration that the regional authority lacks the resources to pay for the services of its employees, including members of the security forces.
If true, and it makes sense, then cleaning up the Somali pirate problem probably is just a little harder than it was last month.

Wednesday, June 04, 2008

Gulf of Aden: Canadian Frigate intervenes in pirate attack




Headline reads: Frigate intervenes in pirate attack:
Crew on HMCS Calgary received a distress call yesterday morning from a vessel that had fallen under small arms fire. As the warship changed its direction and sped toward the attackers, the ship's Sea King helicopter was redirected toward the pirates to gather information, the Department of Defence said in a release.

The Calgary left Esquimalt on April 13, along with three other warships, for multi-month deployments around the world.

When the helicopter arrived, crews spotted two small boats that appeared to be armed near the vessel in the Gulf of Aden, about 120 kilometres off the coast of Somalia.

"I am convinced that the presence of our aircraft drove them away from the traffic lanes and prevented any further attack today on merchant shipping in the area," said Cmdr. Kelly Larkin, commanding officer of the multi-purpose frigate.

"We continued to monitor those two skiffs and their crew as they were heading back toward Somalia territorial waters."
"Pirate skiff" photos from here. More on the Canadian Sea King helo here. Photo of the Sea King herein is generic, not specific to this incident.

UPDATE: It appears that there are two men per boat. Difficult to see weapons, except perhaps a rifle in one man's lap.


UPDATE2: HMCS Calgary.

Tuesday, June 03, 2008

Life Could Be a Dream, Shale boom, shale boom

There is that goldie oldie with the great lyrics:
Oh Life could be a dream, (Shaboom)
If I could take you up in paradise up above, (Shaboom)
If you tell me I'm the only one that you love (Shaboom)
Life would be a dream sweetheart

Shaboom, shaboom, yada da da da da
Shaboom, shaboom, yada da da da da
Shaboom, shaboom, yada da da da da
Shaboom
Now people are singing a slightly different tune - Shale boom, shale boom:
Although much of the industry's attention to future domestic supply has focused on coalbed methane and the deepwater Gulf, shale is making a huge comeback - as evidenced by the surge in activity in Texas' Barnett Shale, which has propelled Devon Energy to the Lone Star State's largest gas producer. And shale formations in other parts of the country, from Wyoming to Arkansas to Appalachia, are attracting millions of dollars of new investment.

Estimates of how much gas is sandwiched between shallow layers of prehistoric mud now as hard as a chalkboard change constantly as more exploration-and-production companies plunk their bets on those quirky, unconventional plays - and have more success coaxing commercial quantities of gas out of them.

In the 1980s, only tiny Mitchell Energy was pushing drill bits into shallow but tightly bound layers of Devonian-age "black" shale, hoping to get at the softer, gas-bearing layer of sedimentary rock, often cracking the surface with water or gelatins to open up its minute cracks and release its gas.

Now, Oklahoma City-based Devon, which bought Mitchell Energy in 2001, operates 1,700 of the more than 3,400 wells in the Barnett - wells that recently propelled Devon's gas production there past 1 Bcf/day.
***
According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), one Barnett field, Newark East, is the sixth-largest gas field in the United States.

And as prolific as it is, the Barnett is just one part of what many E&P companies see as a nationwide shale drilling boom that will produce substantial volumes of gas to help meet growing demand even as conventional production flattens or declines.

While the Barnett is one of the youngest US shale discoveries, the granddaddy is the Appalachian Basin, which runs along the western edge of the Appalachian Mountains from New York to Ohio and Kentucky.

The Energy Information Administration estimated in 2000 that 23.4 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of recoverable gas lay beneath that field, the largest amount of any shale field except the Barnett.

EIA's estimates seem to be too low. The Marcellus Shale, the part of the Appalachian Basin that lies 6,000 feet below the Appalachian Mountains and runs diagonally southwest from Canada, through New York state and Pennsylvania to West Virginia is now estimated to hold 50 Tcf of recoverable gas in Pennsylvania alone.

With 21,000 wells, the Appalachian Basin shale produces roughly 120 Bcf/year, according to the American Association of Petroleum Geologists.
When prices go up because of scarcity, innovation steps in...Shaboom.