VertRep

VertRep

Wednesday, June 06, 2007

Another dictator puts his country on the international dole: Zimbabwe Short of Food for 4 Million


Oh, what a place: Zimbabwe Short of Food for 4 Million:
The United Nations says Zimbabwe will need emergency food aid for four million people before the harvest that begins in March of next year. Peta Thornycroft reports for VOA that statistics provided by the U.N.'s Food and Agriculture Organization and the World Food Program show that Zimbabwe grew less food last summer than at any time previously.

The FAO, allowed back into Zimbabwe for crop assessment for the first time in four years, painted a grim picture of food security for the next year.

It said Zimbabwe in the coming months will need to import more 350,000 tons of corn, its staple food. The FAO says 2 million people will need food aid by July, less than a month away. By next March, the FAO says, a third of the country's population, 4 million people, will be needing food aid to stay alive.

The FAO said "the long-term decline in the large-scale commercial sector has been dramatic, mainly due to land reform activities." It says food production dropped by more than 40 percent in the last year.

In the years before the land-reform program introduced by the government of Robert Mugabe, agriculture played a major role in Zimbabwe's economy, and white commercial farmers provided the backbone of the sector. Small scale and communal farmers were dependent on the infrastrucure built up around commercial agriculture. The communal farmers used to produce about 60 percent of the country's corn.

In 2006, the FAO said, Zimbabwe produced slightly more than a third of what it regularly produced before President Mugabe began to expropriate white owned farms in 2000.
***
To add to Zimbabwe's woes, the power authority this week hiked prices for electricity by 50 percent at a time of the worst outages since the economic crisis began in 2000.

Consumers, especially those in Harare, are in the fourth day of major outages with no power for a minimum of 14 hours in a 24-hour period.

Zimbabwe imports 40 percent of its power needs from the region, but the central bank is short of hard currency to settle its bills.

The crisis, economists say, is hyperinflation, which is at nearly 4000 percent, according to government statisticians. But private sector economists say inflation is more than double that figure.

Statistics from the street money changers indicate that the real value of the Zimbabwe dollar is declining 30 percent a week, its fastest decline since the crisis began in 2000.

I'm sure, somehow, this is all Bush's fault.

Oh, by the way, corn prices may be heading up due to demand for use in making ethanol. See here and here
The U.S. Department of Agriculture released the May agricultural prices report on Thursday and corn prices, at $3.48 per bushel, were up nine cents from last month, $1.31 above May 2006 and four cents above February and March levels. The report measures the average prices received by farmers for corn and other crops.

Farmers and other agriculture experts expect corn prices to continue to rise as ethanol producers like Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) and Pacific Ethanol (PEIX), Verasun (VSE) and The Andersons (ANDE) drive demand for corn. Investors had expected the high corn prices to hurt profits at ethanol producers, but in fact all but Verasun correctly hedged against the spike and actually reported an improvement in corn processing results despite never before seen high corn prices. ADM actually reported a 15% improvement in corn processing operation in Q1 2007, despite the then record prices. The increase in prices seems to have actually helped corn processors as they were easily able to pass along the increase to end users of HFCS like Coke (KO) and Pepsi (PEP).
. Oh, those "end users" who pass the increased costs to the consumer. A recent local television reporter noted that the price of beef in the stores is increasing due to the increased price of feed, such as corn. See here:
n the past year, food prices have increased 3.7 percent and are on track to jump by as much as 7 percent by year's end. The current increase is more than double the 1.8 percent jump seen the year before, according to the consumer price index.

Meanwhile, gas prices rose 2.9 percent. Only the cost of health care rose more, and then just slightly.

While companies up and down the food chain see the increases, they're only beginning to pass them on to consumers.

While food prices are rising pretty much across the board, items related to corn are affected the most. That's because increasing demand for ethanol, made from corn, is driving up corn prices, which farmers use to feed their poultry and cattle. The high price of corn is also affecting prices of everything from cereal and other products with corn as an ingredient to the oils used to make potato chips.

But corn is only one culprit. Higher labor, packaging and fuel costs all play a role.
Fuel cost include the increased cost of using ethanol. Thank you, U.S. Congress for your help in solving the energy crisis by driving up all my other living expenses.

My guess is that the poor Zimbabweans will not be getting a price break on foodstuffs, either.

D-Day 63 years ago

Caption:

Troops and crewmen aboard a Coast Guard manned LCVP as it approaches a Normandy beach on "D-Day", 6 June 1944.




One of the spectacular actions of D-Day was the duel between the twisting snarling USS Emmons, a destroyer, and mobile 88 mm German guns on the Normandy cliffs near Port-en-Bessin. While searching out artillery which had been raking the support waves on the beach, she poured out 250 rounds of five-inch shells in the gun emplacements. (From here)
History here.

Tuesday, June 05, 2007

UAE gets U.S. missiles for patrol corvettes


Reported here:
A U.S.-made system to defend against cruise missiles will be added to a fleet of United Arab Emirates ships that will patrol the Persian Gulf.

The UAE placed a $76.5 million order for seven Rolling Airframe Missile Guided Missile Systems built by Raytheon for installation on six Baynunah-class corvettes that will soon begin guarding the coastline of the strategic nation.
More on the Baynunah class corvettes here and here. And info on the Raytheon RAM system here.

U.S. Navy ship opposing pirates off Somalia


Bull Nav at OPFOR links to a Fox News report that a U.S. Navy ships attempted to engage the Somali pirates that seized the Danish ship Danica White:
The U.S. Navy has fired warning shots across the bow of a Dutch ship that has been boarded by armed pirates off the coast of Somalia, FOX News has learned.

The USS Carter Hall also fired on three small boats that surrounded the commercial ship, the "Danica White," after her crew messaged for assistance after being boarded by pirates, the Navy said.

The incident began Saturday and as of Monday the Danish ship's crew was still believed to be held at gunpoint by an unknown number of pirates who forced the vessel into Somalia's territorial waters. There have been no reports of casualties.

The USS Carter Hall remains nearby in international waters, monitoring the situation. The Danish ship, which the Associated Press reported was owned by H. Folmer & Co. of Copenhagen, has not requested further assistance.
USS Carter Hall (LSD-50) would seem an unlikely ship to undertake such a mission if a destroyer or cruiser were nearby.Its website reports the armament of the ship as consisting of: "Armament: Two 25mm MK 38 Machine Guns, Two 20mm Phalanx CIWS mounts and Six .50 cal. machine guns." She also may have Marines embarked.

Earlier report on the capture of Danica White here and here.

UPDATE: Navy Times coverage and more info here. Carter Hall apparently did not have embarked Marines.
The dock landing ship Carter Hall shot flares, fired warning bursts and unleashed a volley that set fire to three skiffs towed behind a hijacked Danish cargo ship off Somalia on Tuesday, but it could not prevent the freighter from slipping out of international waters and towards a known pirate camp, the Navy said.

The Danica White, a Danish-flagged merchant vessel with a crew of five, was hijacked by pirates early Saturday in view of a French warship that could not cross into Somali territorial waters to offer help. The Danica White never radioed for assistance, but the Carter Hall called to ask if it needed help, said Lt. John Gay, a spokesman with Navy Forces Central Command in Bahrain.

“They made several calls and tried to hail the ship,” he said. “They responded they were under control of pirates.”

The hijacked ship then tried to get the Carter Hall to change course so it could proceed to Somali waters unobstructed, which was when American sailors spotted at least one armed man on the freighter’s bridge wing, Gay said. That’s when the amphib’s guns opened fire.

“The USS Carter Hall fired flares and several shots across the bow as well as several disabling shots at the three skiffs in tow,” he said. “They shot at the skiffs and they caught on fire.”

Sailors used the ship’s .50-caliber machine guns, 7.62 mm miniguns and 25 mm Bushmaster cannons in the encounter, Gay said.

“As long as they’re in international waters, they can engage,” he said.

But the hijacked Danica White made it into Somali waters and the Carter Hall had to back off and watch.

“We’re observing them at this point,” Gay said. “It’s ongoing.”

The Carter Hall, a ship designed to haul Marines and their gear, left its homeport of Naval Amphibious Base Little Creek, Va., on April 10 without a Marine contingent on what was described as catch-all “maritime security operations” in the Middle East. Gay said the Carter Hall is in the waters off eastern Africa specifically for “anti-piracy search operations.”
Just my opinion, and based on incomplete knowledge, but if you're going searching after pirates, a little more in the way of "anti-piracy" forces might be useful... though admittedly I don't know what else she might have been packing.

Shipping containers: Not as big a problem as was warned or a problem contained?


Some interesting analysis over here concerning a seeming shift in focus over concerns of "nuke in a container" to other possible threats:
Since September 11th, security at container ports in the United States has been a major concern. There has been considerable publicity and chatter about the number of the cargo containers coming into our ports going uninspected (initially reported to be less than 5% but now stated as nearly 90%), and the possibility that one such container might slip through the security net with a nuclear device or contraband nuclear material. With bipartisan support in the U.S. Congress increased funding for port security and placed an emphasis on testing all cargo for radiological material.

Within months of the September 11th attacks, U.S. Customs Service had created the Container Security Initiative (CSI). One of the minimum standards of this effort was the presence of non-intrusive inspection (NII) equipment (gamma or X-ray) and radiation detection equipment.
***
In his July 27, 2006 testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee Subcommittee on Terrorism, Technology, and Homeland Security, Vayl Oxford the Director of the Domestic Nuclear Detection Office of the Department of Homeland Security clearly stated. “The gravest threat to America is a nuclear weapon in the hands of terrorists.”

But now, the DNPO chief is downplaying the container threat. As reported in the May 25th issue of Global Security Newswire, Director Oxford said that would-be nuclear terrorists would be extremely unlikely to bring such a device into the United States in a container ship. This is in contrast to the fact that the DNPO is heavily promoting efforts to get the next generation of radiation scanners into port facilities.

“Everyone wants to know how we’re doing on scanning their containers. I personally don’t think the threat is coming through this mechanism,” Domestic Nuclear Detection Office head Vayl Oxford said during a breakfast presentation held by the National Defense University Foundation yesterday. “Giving up a nuclear device putting it in a container and letting it float around the world for a couple of weeks is probably folly. But it’s a great metric. Everybody loves to count containers,” Oxford said.

Instead, Oxford believes that his office should increase its focus on “non-port of entry venues” — especially the porous northern border, where only forty percent of land entry points are monitored in any way. “I think what you’ll see is the emergence of mobile systems that will allow us to search the location as necessary as opposed to a lot of fixed locations,” Oxford said. That approach mirrors that being taken to deal with smaller watercraft. According to Oxford, by the end of the year “all Coast Guard boarding teams will be equipped with some sort of radiation detection equipment.”
What's going on? I suspect Jay answers part of his own question in a response to a comment:
All of a sudden containers through our seaports aren’t a threat? What about all of the money that’s been spent, not just on portal detection for railways and truck transport, but for seaports here and overseas?

Without knowing the answer, my only thought is that they’re confident that the scanning of cargo at the ports of origination will eliminate or substantially reduce the threat of entry through one of the U.S. ports.
That, and perhaps an understanding by the DNPO that our enemy finds weak links to attack through and the unwatched border or use of small fishing or recreational boats under his complete control mixing in with regular weekend boating traffic might be a major problem.

Is that Bertram yacht in the picture a possible weapon system? You bet.

The Coast Guard see it, as set out here:
With thousands of boats on the waterways, the worry is the recreational boat is now a Homeland Security threat.

"Just the sheer numbers and ability to hide among recreational traffic is something that makes it difficult for me to find the threat and address it," said Admiral Thad Allen, Commandant of the U.S. Coast Guard.

A simple boat could be used as a weapon.

"Just the fuel, this has 85 gallons in this boat and that's bomb itself," said Singleton.

The head of the U.S. Coast Guard is throwing around a couple of ideas on how to keep you safe.

One would require licenses for all boaters in all states.

The other would call for transponders on recreational boats so authorities can track their location.

"Anything to improve our coast and help everybody out, we need to do it. We just have to get control over this. I think it would be a good idea," said Singleton.

Those against the licensing or the use of transponders believe the Coast Guard needs to set up a small perimeter, a safety zone, in areas of concern, so small boats can't get into certain areas.


I think novelist Vince Flynn portrayed the use of such a boat as part of his novel Memorial Day.

Nigerian Navy takes on oil thieves

Reported here:
No fewer than six vessels and a yet to be ascertained number of persons alleged to have been involved in crude oil theft and sea piracy in and around Lagos water ways were recently arrested by naval officers attached to the Western Naval Command.
Though the identities of the suspects could not be ascertained as at the time this report was filed, the Flag Officer Commanding (FOC), Western Naval Command, Rear Admiral Ishaya Ibrahim, said some of the suspects have since been handed over to the police while others were still being investigated to know their degree of involvement.

BBC "reports" news: "Pirates 'kill' hostage in Somalia"


I posted about the killing of a hostage in Somalia yesterday here. In one of the oddest uses of quotation marks I have ever seen,the BBC reports the same story as Pirates 'kill' hostage in Somalia.

What kind of headline writing is this?

Is there doubt about the killing? Then the headline should read "Pirates allegedly kill hostage in Somalia" or even "Pirates reportedly kill hostage in Somalia." Which is what they did in the lead paragraph.

If they are being safe perhaps they should write: 'Pirates' 'kill' 'hostage' 'in' 'Somalia'.........

Back to reading their "news."

Monday, June 04, 2007

Sage advice

The L.A. Times has offered buyouts to some of its reporters. One of them, Rone Tempest, is a veteran reporter of nearly 40 years of experience, a good deal of which was with LAT. He served as a bureau chief in Houston, India, Beijing, Hong Kong, Paris and had many other experiences, including coverage of some of the world's hot spots. A couple of years ago, he shared in the LAT Pulitzer for coverage of Southern California wild fires. Mr. Tempest decided to take the buyout, but as a departing gift, left with some words of wisdom for all of us, as set out here:
4 Career Life Lessons from a Retiring Hack:

1)Never write a company-wide memo

2)In any foreign language the most important phrase is "My friend will pay" as in French "mon ami va payer" or Chinese "Wo de pengyou yao mai le"

3) Given a choice, Bordeaux red

4) Never get killed for an inside story.
Take heed, all you.

(An example of Mr. Tempest's work is found in this piece about Victor Davis Hanson)

(Another sample: here with an explanation of #4)

Somili pirates kill hostage


Reported here:
SOMALI pirates holding a Taiwan-flagged fishing vessel have killed one of its crew members because the ship's owners were not giving in to demands for a ransom.

The pirates killed their captive on Saturday and had threatened to take the life of another if their demands were not met, said Andrew Mwangura, director of the Kenyan-based East African Seafarers Assistance Program.

The ship, Ching Fong Hwa 168, was captured in mid-May and had two Taiwanese and 14 Chinese crew members on board. It was not clear if a Taiwanese or Chinese crew member had died.

"Since they took her captive, there has been communication between the owners and the captors but it seems that the owner wasn't co-operative," Mr Mwangura said from the Kenyan port of Mombasa.

"They want a ransom and have said they'll kill another crew member if the ship owner doesn't pay."

Maritime Monday 62 at Fred Fry International

Happy Monday! Time for Fred Fry International: Maritime Monday 62- this time Fred discovers some interesting Chinese imports.

And a whole lot more...go see for yourself.

Updated information about the Somali pirate seizure of a Danish ship


Updated information about the Somali pirate seizure of a Danish ship, Danica White can be found here at Protocol:
The ship owned by the Danish shipowner H. Folmer & Co. was highjacked 2 June 240 nautical miles North East of Mogadishu off the coast of Puntland. Most probably the ship has been taken by the pirates operating from the Harardhere region, which has been known as "Somali Marines" and several other names. These pirates have returned to the area since the Ethiopians and the Transitional Federal Government withdrew some months ago from the area after retaking the area from the Islamic Courts Union in December 2006.

The attack have most probably been carried out with a mother ship and a number of motor boats in order to operate at 240 nautical miles and even if the IMB recommends to keep out of 200 nautical miles from the Somalia coastline, Protocol has information about attempted attacks out to 320 NM in 2005 and 2006. According to our information Danica White had followed the recommendations on the 200 NM area and implemented correct procedures.
Hat tip to:Protocol See previous post here.

UPDATE: Help may have arrived too late:
According to reports a French warship arrived on the scene as the Danica White entered Somali waters but refused requests from the ship's manager, H Folmer, to intervene within territorial waters.
It's my interpretation of the following that "hot pursuit" of a pirate vessel is not allowed under International Law after a certain point: From United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS)
Article 105. Seizure of a pirate ship or aircraft

On the high seas, or in any other place outside the jurisdiction of any State, every State may seize a pirate ship or aircraft, or a ship or aircraft taken by piracy and under the control of pirates, and arrest the persons and seize the property on board. The courts of the State which carried out the seizure may decide upon the penalties to be imposed, and may also determine the action to be taken with regard to the ships, aircraft or property, subject to the rights of third parties acting in good faith.

Article 111. Right of hot pursuit

1. The hot pursuit of a foreign ship may be undertaken when the competent authorities of the coastal State have good reason to believe that the ship has violated the laws and regulations of that State. Such pursuit must be commenced when the foreign ship or one of its boats is within the internal waters, the archipelagic waters, the territorial sea or the contiguous zone of the pursuing State, and may only be continued ouside the territorial sea or the contiguous zone if the pursuit has not been interrupted. It is not necessary that, at the time when the foreign ship within the territorial sea or the contiguous zone receives the order to stop, the ship giving the order should likewise be within the territorial sea or the contiguous zone. If the foreign ship is within a contiguous zone, as defined in article 33, the pursuit may only be undertaken if there has been a violation of the rights for the protection of which the zone was established.

2. The right of hot pursuit shall apply mutatis mutandis to violations in the exclusive economic zone or on the continental shelf, including safety zones around continental shelf installations, of the laws and regulations of the coastal State applicable in accordance with this Convention to the exclusive economic zone or the continental shelf, including such safety zones.

3. The right of hot pursuit ceases as soon as the ship pursued enters the territorial sea of its own State or of a third State.
Under this law, the French ship lost the right of pursuit if it believed that the captured ship entered the territorial waters of Somalia.

Yes, sometimes the "law is an ass."

Sri Lanka looks for some help with the LTTE (Tamil Tigers)


Covered here, and interesting variation on Port Security initiatives from one of the victims of smuggled or directly ships weapons:
Sri Lanka’s Foreign Minister Rohitha Bogollagama yesterday (Sunday) appealed to defense ministers and military commanders attending the Annual IISS Asian Security Summit – The Shangri-La Dialogue, to ensure that their governments remain focused on the complexities the Government of Sri Lanka faces in grappling with terrorism of the LTTE and not to permit the LTTE to use their territories or waters to continue to terrorize the people of Sri Lanka. Minister Rohitha Bogollagama: Sri Lanka needed international and bilateral cooperation from other countries which could destroy the worldwide activities of the LTTE". Minister Rohitha Bogollagama: Sri Lanka needed international and bilateral cooperation from other countries which could destroy the worldwide activities of the LTTE".

Leading the Sri Lanka delegation which was participating for the first time in this influential defense forum which is being held for the 6th time, the Minister underscored the threat posed to Sri Lanka, countries in the region and maritime users of the Indian Ocean by the attacks of the LTTE. Referring to the arms smuggling activities of the LTTE carried out using a number of LTTE ships flying under different flags, the Minister asked, "How are they able to bring these to Sri Lanka ? They pass through several ports. There are loading ports, discharging ports and transiting ports. They sometimes come in containers." He said "This chain has to be arrested, and towards this end Sri Lanka needed international and bilateral cooperation from other countries which could destroy the worldwide activities of the LTTE". The Minister said the LTTE’s supply chain and funding must be severed to end the conflict in Sri Lanka. (emphasis added)
Good question - if arms can be slipped into Sri Lanka so easily, how hard is it to slip them into other countries using the same techniques?

Full text of speech here:
The LTTE’s state of the art international propaganda, fundraising, procurement and shipping networks, have been able to procure both war and war related equipment with relative ease. The organization boasts of having maintained a vast global network since the mid-1980s with political/propaganda offices and cells in some 54 countries. It generates annual revenue of US $ 10-30 Million per month largely through extortion of the over 1 million strong Tamil diaspora and clandestine operations carried out in host countries. However, unlike most terrorist organizations, the LTTE is one of the few terrorist organizations in the world with proven maritime capability, owning a substantial number of ships sailing across the oceans under the flags of different countries which, alongside traditional trading activity, engages in smuggling of military hardware. The LTTE has also established a naval combat unit known as the ‘Sea Tigers’.

Thus Sri Lanka confronts what Terrorism expert and Chief Scientist at the Centre for Asymmetric Threat Studies at the Swedish National Defence College Dr Magnus Ranstorp has described as “[LTTE is] probably the most sophisticated terrorist organization in the world.”
***
The challenge the LTTE poses is not confined to the waters of the Indian Ocean. In this modern globalized world where the element of technological transfer amongst different terrorist groups takes place at a rapid pace, the LTTE’s maritime terrorist attacks offer ‘copycat models’ for other terrorist groups. The LTTE also provides a convenient transport facility for other terrorist organizations. Thus the LTTE’s activities are being watched as an early example of emerging trends and patterns in maritime terrorism.

The LTTE had carried out ten suicide attacks on Sri Lanka Navy vessels with the use of explosive laden boats before the Al Qaeda attacked ‘USS Cole’ in Yemen in October 2000. In fact the Al-Qaeda attack on the 'USS Cole' was a copycat of LTTE’s attack on Abheetha, a Sri Lankan navy supply ship on 4 May 1991. In a 19 March 2003 interview with the BBC Sea Tigers Chief Soosai was to state, “ I think in Yeman they used our strategy of targeting the hull in their suicide attack to blow up an American ship ‘USS Cole’ - this is exactly what we used to do.”

It is well known that the tactical resource base of terrorism for the next generation will take the form of ‘network terrorism’ in which actors across a spectrum of conflicts and crimes will modify the existing structures to take advantage of the inter-linked service arrangements. In this context, the LTTE with its global reach through the Tamil Diaspora and its fleet of merchant vessels is ahead of the competition in acting as couriers, as well as providers of military training to several other terrorist groups in the region. The LTTE ships have been used to provide alternate supply channels to other groups and crime syndicates in the region for their arms and human smuggling and drug trafficking activities, as the LTTE has established a presence in the arms black-market. For instance in 1995 an LTTE ship had clandestinely transported a consignment of arms and ammunition dispatched by the Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HUM) of Pakistan to the southern Philippines for use by the Abu Sayyaf.

The London based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in its publication 'Military Balance 2007' also refers to commercial links between the LTTE and the Al-Qaeda movement. It has been suggested that the LTTE established linkages with the Mujahiddins in Afghanistan as far back as 1987, and in 2001 an LTTE delegation travelled to Kabul shortly before 9/11. India's National Security Adviser M K Narayanan in a speech at the 42nd Munich Conference on Security Policy on 11 February 2007 said that both Jihadi movements and the LTTE were relying heavily on funds from trafficking in narcotics which has doubled in recent years.

The ramifications of LTTE behavior on the global terrorism is significant. It must be recalled that the LTTE resported to suicide bombing and mastered the use of the suicide jackets with C-4 explosives with devastating impact long before the Al-Qaeda movement. Infact the LTTE was a pioneer in the field and is believed to have conducted 155 battlefield and civilians suicide missions up until August 1998, compared with 50 attacks by all other groups around the world, including Hamas, Hizbollah and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). It has also been noted that suicide bombing jackets used in the London underground in July 2005 were very similar to the jackets used by the LTTE in Sri Lanka in the late 1980's and throughout the 1990s and that the terrorist attacks in Bali and Jordan also have the hallmarks of suicide technology that had previously been used in Lebanon and Sri Lanka.

Furthermore, the LTTE’s July 2001 attack on Colombo airport was one of the most destructive acts of terrorism in aviation history. In more recent times, the LTTE’s ‘Air Tiger Wing’, developed using the cover of the ceasefire agreement since 2002, launched its first strike on the Sri Lankan Air Force base in Katunayake on 26 March 2007 but failed to achieve its desired effect. Subsequent attacks have been carried out on April 24 in an area adjoining the Palaly Military base in Jaffna and on 28 April near Colombo, on the night when most Sri Lankans were watching the finals of the Cricket World Cup being played in the Caribbean.
Worth a complete reading.

Also speaking at the same conference, defense Secretary Gates of the U.S. His comments found here include a commitment to meet our commitments in Asia and more:
Contrary to the perceptions of some, the United States remains deeply committed to a strong, vibrant partnership with Asia across the full spectrum of economic, political, and security dimensions, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said in a broad-ranging policy address in Singapore June 2.

"Our commitments elsewhere notwithstanding, we will fulfill our commitments in Asia," Gates declared in remarks to representatives of the 25 nations participating in the Sixth International Institute of Strategic Studies’ Asia Security Summit, also known as the Shangri-La Dialogue.
***
No single nation can deal with the many international challenges the world faces, according to Gates. They require all civilized nations "to come together in new and dynamic ways – as we are doing in Asia."

In particular Gates cited the challenge of fighting terrorist networks that "have become adept at taking advantage of the ungoverned spaces of the real and virtual worlds to organize, train, and recruit."

Organizations such as al Qaida and Jemaah Islayiyah, don't seek to take over countries as did the guerilla movements of the 20th century, Gates argued, but to weaken states and create "vacuums of authority" from which they can operate.

"We have learned the hard way that allowing failed states to turn into terrorist sanctuaries has catastrophic consequences," he said.

Gates said that terrorist attacks in Indonesia and the Philippines, as well as plots foiled in Singapore and elsewhere, reinforce the need to cooperate at all levels, including military operations, law enforcement, information sharing, training, and in some instances, joint operation.

Indonesia Looking for Maritime Security Assistance from North Asia


Reported as Indonesia Requests Maritime Security Help From Japan, China, Korea:
A top Indonesian military official is calling for stronger military cooperation with Northeast Asian countries to help keep waterborne trade routes secure. He was speaking at a conference in Singapore called the Shangri-La Dialogue that is becoming an important annual gathering of diplomats and experts in Asian security issues. Chad Bouchard reports from Jakarta.

Indonesian Defense Minister Juwono Sudarsono has asked Asia's wealthiest nations to provide ships and technical assistance in patrolling one of the world's busiest and most vulnerable shipping lanes. The Malacca Strait runs between Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore, and carries 40 percent of the world's maritime trade.
***
"Maybe [this could be viewed as] a signal being sent to the U.S. as well that Indonesia is independent and it can choose who it wants to help police the Straits because Indonesia has had quite a nationalistic way of looking at its territorial waters; it's been loathe to let outsiders, even the Singaporeans, have too much say in how it patrols," said Holm.

Defense minister Sudarsono said Indonesia's defense budget is less than one percent of its gross domestic product, or about $3.2 billion a year, and poverty relief was more important in the national budget than fleet expansion.
It's one way you can get the users to pay for maritime security.

Iran's Military Strategy?

Iran threatens its neighbors with a "regional war" in - Iran Vows Large-Scale Retaliation if U.S. Attacks:
If U.S. forces strike Iranian nuclear facilities, Iranian officials say Tehran will respond by triggering all-out regional war.
“Ballistic missiles would be fired in masses against targets in Arab gulf states and Israel,” one Foreign Ministry official said. “The objective would be to overwhelm U.S. missile defense systems with dozens and maybe hundreds of missiles fired simultaneously at specific targets.”
Tehran’s primary targets would be U.S. military installations and strategic targets in U.S.-allied Arabian Gulf states, including oil depots, refineries, power plants and desalination facilities. U.S. warships would also face waves of surface-to-surface cruise missiles sent to overwhelm their countermeasures, said several senior Iranian officials whose comments reflect the official line but who could not obtain permission to speak on the record at short notice.
“The name of the game is simply to saturate strategic targets with missile firepower in order to render the Patriots and other defenses useless,” said Hassan Fahs, a journalist and political analyst based here.
One Iranian official with knowledge of the leadership’s national-security discussions said his country’s leaders anticipate that U.S. forces will strike with no warning against the military’s command-and-control network, and have ordered ballistic- and cruise-missile battery crews to launch the retaliation plan within an hour after a U.S. attack begins.
“The U.S. will be as surprised with Iranian military capabilities as the Israelis were with Hizbollah in last summer’s war in Lebanon,” he said. “Most of our people are confident we would give the Americans hell and likely emerge victorious.”
***
Tehran would also allow al-Qaida and other Islamic terrorist groups free passage across its borders from Afghanistan and Asia into the Middle East, Iranian officials said.
“Iran will open a freeway for terrorists from Afghanistan all the way to Lebanon, enabling the terrorists to strike in almost every country in the Middle East,” said the official with knowledge of national-security discussions. He added that Iran currently bans such transits from Afghanistan, forcing them to take longer routes and risk capture in other countries. “This positive action would not continue if Iran is attacked by the U.S.”

Midway - 65 Years Ago the Battle Began


For a good history of the Battle of Midway, go here and click on the topics "Navy Code Breakers" "Doolittle Raid" "Battle of the Coral Sea" and "The Battle of Midway" to get the story of the battle that turned the tide in the Pacific - 65 years ago.

Also:



UPDATE: Some veterans will gather at Midway:
Monday marks the 65th anniversary of the start of the three-day battle that changed the course of World War II. Three Midway veterans in their 80s and 90s and the current Pacific Fleet commander will visit the island 1,300 miles northwest of Honolulu for a ceremony hosted by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, which runs a nature reserve on the atoll.
"Americans like underdogs, and here we are underdogs," said Donald Goldstein, a University of Pittsburgh history professor. "I think that's what made it so good -- that we shouldn't have won and we did."

Sunday, June 03, 2007

Update of Naval Surface Fire into Somalia


Updated info from here:
A U.S. warship pounded Somalia's remote coastal northeast, targeting Islamic militants hours after a gunbattle with Somali government forces that left eight insurgents dead, officials said yesterday.
The fighting late Friday, which the provincial government said included an American militant, appeared to mark the opening of a new front against Islamic militants in Puntland, a semiautonomous region that has remained relatively peaceful through Somalia's anarchy.
The government declared victory in April against insurgents in the Somali capital, which is in the south. Since then officials of the government and Ethiopian troops sent to prop it up have been targeted in bomb attacks.
Puntland Vice President Hassan Dahir Mohamoud said that eight foreign militants were killed in the fighting and that Somali forces were pursuing five others. He said there were no civilian casualties because the area is uninhabited.
Mr. Mohamoud said the Puntland government had requested the U.S. Navy to help fight the militants.
He said that the government knew the home nations of five of the foreign militants: the United States, Britain, Sweden, Eritrea and Yemen. He said security forces identified them from their passports.
"We have successfully completed the operation against the terrorists who came here, and we are chasing the other five," said Mr. Mohamoud, speaking from Puntland's capital, Garowe. He said the total number of militants was 13; government officials earlier reported as many as 35.
Muse Gelle, a regional governor, said the militants arrived in the area near the port town of Bargal by speedboat on Wednesday. He said a U.S. destroyer attacked late Friday.
Original report here.

And, no, it's not 8" or 16" guns, but you have to go with the Navy you have...

New target...

UPDATE (6/4/07): More "facts" here, though the article contends "cruise missiles" were used in the attack:
Somali officials confirmed on Sunday that an American was among the suspected Muslim radicals killed on Friday when a U.S. Navy warship fired missiles at a militant encampment in northern Somalia.

The American was not identified, but Hassan Dahir Mohamoud, the vice president of Puntland, the northern Somali region that declared itself semiautonomous in 1998, said that the American's passport had been recovered.

Five other foreigners were also killed in the strike, Mohamoud said, including citizens of Great Britain, Sweden, Morocco, Pakistan and Yemen. Two Somali nationals reportedly survived.

''We have found an American, British, Swedish and some Middle Eastern passports on the corpses,'' Mohamoud said.

The presence of at least six foreigners among what officials now estimate was a group of perhaps a dozen men who arrived by boat in Puntland on Wednesday night raises questions about who the men were and what their purpose was.
***
They said the group came ashore on Wednesday night and was apparently traveling by fishing boat to the tiny coastal nation of Eritrea, where top leaders of Somalia's former Islamist regime are believed to be hiding.

On Friday, the suspected militants came under fire from Puntland security forces, who then alerted the American military base in neighboring Djibouti. After the security forces chased the group up a brushy mountain, a U.S. Navy destroyer floating in the Red Sea fired cruise missiles at their location.

It was unclear if the militants included any of three al Qaeda suspects U.S. officials are seeking in connection with the 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania who are believed to be hiding in Somalia.

The clashes in Puntland were the first in the north of the country, which has largely escaped Somalia's recent violence. Somali officials pledged to continue to seek American help to root out other militants.

''The American airstrike follows a series of attacks targeting any terrorist group in every hideout,'' said Mohammud Ali Yusuf, Puntland's finance minister. ``We want any help from the U.S. without harming innocent people.''
Airstrike?

History Channel: Return of the Pirates

Worth a watch - though it's a 2 hour show -Return of the Pirates on the History Channel:
A new war rages off the world's coastlines. Piracy is making a comeback. Intelligence indicates that pirates and terrorists are merging tactics. Over 90% of international trade travels by water and pirates have long known what Sir Walter Raleigh once said: "Whosoever commands the sea commands the trade; whoever commands the trade of the world commands the riches of the world, and consequently the world itself." Nations and corporations are racing to protect themselves and their goods.
Only bad part is, can't find out when the next broadcast will be...

Minor disagreement with Michael McDaniel of CargoLaw fame over threat posed by LNG tankers - LNG tankers might pose a big fire threat, but they will not explode like a "small nuclear device." See here.

Danish ship taken by Somali pirates



Reported here:
Somali hijackers have seized a Danish cargo ship and its five Danish crew in the latest case of piracy plaguing waters off the lawless Horn of Africa nation, a Kenyan maritime official said on Sunday.

The Donica White was carrying building materials from Dubai to Kenya's Mombasa port when gunmen boarded it late on Friday, Andrew Mwangura, director of the Mombasa-based East African Seafarers Assistance Programme, told Reuters.

"We expect a ransom to be demanded in the next three to four days, and we expect it to be high because the crew were all Danish nationals this time," Mwangura said.

Four other ships -- an Indian dhow and three fishing vessels from Taiwan and Tanzania -- are currently being held by Somali pirates, who have made the Indian Ocean corridor off their homeland among the most dangerous waters in the world.

Experts have long speculated that the pirates are using a mysterious "mother ship" to reach their targets far out at sea, and then board them using smaller speedboats.

Mwangura said the hijacking of the Donica White, in heavy seas more than 130 miles (210 miles) off the coast, appeared to have been carried out that way.

"We have not seen it yet, but there has to be (a mother ship)," he said. "Small ships like those that attacked could not have made it so far from the coast in very rough seas."
UPDATE: Replaced photo with correct ship (see later post here for updated information.) Hat tip to Protocol for pointing me to the correct information.

Sunday Ship History: An attack on the United States

Yesterday. agents of the government revealed a plot to attack part of the transportation infrastructure of the United States. As noted here, four men have been charged with planning to attack Kennedy International Airport and some of its supporting operations.

About 91 years ago, there was another plot to attack a center of American transportation - but in this case, the attack was successful and resulted in a massive explosion, death and damage to New York, New Jersey and to that icon of freedom, the Statue of Liberty.

In 1914, war had erupted in Europe. The British and French and their allies were engaged in a mighty struggle with the Germans and their allies. Some countries, like the United States, were neutral, allegedly favoring neither side in the European war.

Even for neutrals, there are certain rules of war to be obeyed. Shipping belonging to "belligerent" powers can be "interned" (definition: "to impound or hold within a country until the termination of a war, as a ship of a belligerent that has put into a neutral port and remained beyond a limited period."). Prior to the U.S. joining in WWI, 91 German merchant ships were held in U.S. ports (80 interned in the New York area), totalling about 595,000 tons. See here, pp.487-488. The internment of these ships, coupled with a blockade of the Central Powers by the Royal Navy, limited the ability of Germany and its allies to acquire munitions from the U.S. and transport them across the sea, though there were not corresponding limitations on the Allies buying and transporting such materials, because of the limitations of the German Navy.

It should be noted that one of the justifications for the "partially restricted" submarine warfare practiced by the Germans, which resulted in the torpedoing of the Lusitania, was that such Allied ships were carrying war materials to England. See here.

Whether the Lusitania was, in fact, carrying munitions is a matter of some controversy. What is clear is that the Germans were concerned with the ability of the Allies to transport munitions by sea from the U.S. to England and France. In such a case, there a couple of approaches that might be taken to slow the flow of weapons. One approach is to blockade the ports from which such supplies flow - or to disrupt the sea lines of communication. This approach includes the use of submarines to sink shipping entering into those sealanes.

A second approach is to attack the shore infrastructure through which the munitions flow- attack on ammunition factories, railroads and port facilities, for example.

In July, 1916, the Germans, already using the submarines to disrupt the flow of goods to the Allies, undertook a plan to attack a significant base of ammunition operations in the United States. They struck at "Black Tom Island" off Jersey City, New Jersey - and very close to Manhatten, the Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island in New York Harbor.
Prior to American entry into World War I, Black Tom was a depot where war materiel manufactured in the northeastern states was sent for transport to the Allied Powers (England, France, Italy and Russia). The Allies were engaged in World War I against the Central Powers (Germany and Austria-Hungary). President Woodrow Wilson had declared a policy of neutrality, but American rights to "freedom of the seas" were affected by British naval control of the Atlantic sea-lanes. According to Jules Witcover in Sabotage at Black Tom: Imperial Germany's Secret War in America, 1914-1917, this situation resulted in the work of German saboteurs to prevent British receipt of munitions from the US (257, 266-267).
As set out here, the attack was deadly:
On Sunday morning, July 30, 1916, at 2:08 a.m., Jersey City residents were awakened by a major explosion and a succession of smaller explosions that lasted for several hours, sending shock waves as far as ninety miles away. The explosions occurred at Black Tom Island--no longer an island--but a mile-long pier on landfill that connected the island with the Jersey City waterfront (formerly old Communipaw). The pier stood opposite the Statue of Liberty in the New York Harbor. The Lehigh Valley Railroad Company owned and used the pier as a work yard where the National Dock and Storage Company had warehouses. The origin of the name "Black Tom" is said to come from a "dark skinned" fisherman who lived at the site for many years.
***
On the evening of the Black Tom incident, barges and freight cars at the depot were reportedly filled with over two million pounds of ammunition waiting to be shipped overseas. The munitions at the depot included shrapnel, black powder, TNT and dynamite. The Johnson Barge No.17, for example, held some one hundred thousand pounds of TNT. Given these incendiary devices, the Black Tom facility was not securely gated to safeguard the nearby civilian population from the potential of foul play.

Shortly after midnight on Sunday morning, small fires on the pier were discovered and the eight guards on duty gave flight. One of the guards, however, sounded the fire alarm alerting the Jersey City Fire Department. The fires gradually set off a succession of exploding shrapnel shells. After the terrifying 2:08 a.m. blast, the well-stocked arsenal was ablaze, even casting the barges at Black Tom afloat in New York Harbor. Pieces of metal from the explosion struck the Jersey Journal building clock tower at Journal Square, stopping the clock at 2:12 a.m.

During the explosion, Jersey City residents took to the streets and gathered at the waterfront to witness the ongoing fire works. Emergency vehicles in the city responded to alarms without full comprehension of the emergency and a disruption in telephone service created an information blackout. Witcover reports: "The blast jolted the Hudson Tubes [PATH system] under the river connecting Lower Manhattan with Hoboken and Jersey City . . . . in the Bay View and New York Bay cemeteries monuments and tombstones toppled and some vaults were jolted askew" (13). A larger than usual number of worshippers had turned out for the six o'clock morning mass at the Mission of Our Lady of the Rosary (today Holy Rosary Church at Sixth Street).
***
Accounts of the total number of fatalities differ, but it is known that a policeman, a guard at Black Tom, and the barge captain of the Johnson Barge No.19 were killed; a ten-week old infant was thrown from his crib. Hundreds of individuals were injured. The reported property damage was enormous--over $20 million. The Black Tom depot with its freight cars, warehouses, barges, tugboats and piers was completely destroyed. In the nearby harbor, the Statue of Liberty sustained $100,000 in damages from the spray of shrapnel, and newly-arrived immigrants at Ellis Island had to be evacuated for processing at the Immigration Bureau at the Battery in New York City. Some five hundred people living on houseboats and barges in the harbor also required evacuation.
Across the river, windows blew out in lower Manhattan and windows panes shattered in the Times Square area. Repercussions from the explosions were reported along the Jersey shoreline from Hoboken to Bayonne and over to Staten Island and Brooklyn and from as far away as Philadelphia.
The Statue of Liberty was affected:
The Statue of Liberty sustained 100,000 1916-dollars worth of damage from a shotgun-blast of shrapnel.One long-term result was the closing of her torch to tourist traffic, according to a U.S. Park Service Officer.
What caused the explosion? According to this:
For years no one knew what or who caused Black Tom's hundreds of freight cars, and 13 warehouses and six piers, to rise into the heavens. Only gradually did evidence point to sabotage directed by the German Embassy in Washington. The ambassador, Count Johann Heinrich von Bernstorff, naturally denied all knowledge, and so did his Government and its successors, the Weimar Republic and the Third Reich. Through investigation in part guided by the New York lawyer John J. McCloy (who, after World War II, was the American High Commissioner in Germany) the truth at last came out. In 1953, companies and individuals seeking restitution for Black Tom and other unneutral German deeds between 1914, when the war began, and 1917, when the United States became a combatant, divided $95 million in compensation.
And it seems to have been an "inside job"
Two of the guards who had lit the smudge pots were immediately arrested. However, it soon became clear that the blast had not been an accident. It was traced to a Slovak immigrant named Michael Kristoff (probably a stolen identity), who had served in the U.S. Army, but admitted to carrying suitcases for the Germans before America entered World War I. According to him, two of the guards were German agents. It is likely that the bombing involved some of the ingenious techniques developed by a group of German agents surrounding German ambassador Count Johann Heinrich von Bernstorff, probably using the pencil bombs developed by Captain Franz von Rintelen.
See also here:
...Colonel Nicoiai knew that it was now time to rush in a reserve professional sabotage tean. It consisted of one man -- the suave, aristocratic army reservist, Capt Franz von Rintelen.

"Munitions," von Rinelen confided to his friends at the Hotel Adlon in Berlin, "munitions ,my job -- what I can't buy I'll blow up , kaput schlagen!"

Buying was an empty boast. Already, the Allies' investment in U.S.-made materiel of war was approaching an annual $3 billion. Blowing up munitions was more within the realm of practicability.

Von Rintelen perfected the "pencil" bomb, a devilishly simple incendiary device which ignited cargoes when ships were far at sea. It was estimated later that he alone had destroyed $10 million worth of cargo on 36 ships.
See also here for more on the espionage aspects of the matter. See here for a discussion of the Etappendienst (Secret Naval Supply System)and techniques used by the Germans to communicate about ship movements to U-boats. It is also worth viewing a Time magazine article on "Black Tom" from November 1930, which asserts that the explosion was an accident. See here.

The effects of the Black Tom Explosion did not stop with the destruction of munitions. In addition, new laws were enacted:
The Black Tom blast and related acts of German terrorism resulted in the passage of the federal Espionage Act in June 1917. The statute went beyond its principal purpose of curtailing Teutonic terrorists. Section 2 embargoed from the U.S. mails "every letter, writing, circular, postal card, picture, print, engraving, photograph, newspaper, pamphlet, book or other publication... containing any advocating or urging of treason, insurrection, or forcible resistance to any law of the United States," and subjected the authors to a $5,000 fine and five years imprisonment. A potent precedent favoring the Constitutionally-questionable provisions of the United States Patriot Act, passed shortly after the Nine-Eleven attacks, the 1917 law was given the Supreme Court seal of approval in Schenk v. United States, where no less a civil-libertarian than Oliver Wendell Holmes wrote for the high court majority, "When a nation is at war many things that might be said in time of peace are such a hindrance to its efforts that their utterance will not be endured so long as men fight...."

Additionally, the U.S. Justice Department was given a Bureau of Investigation, which would soon be re-christened the FBI. Shortly after the 1918 Armistice, the new agency launched the now-notorious Palmer Raids against suspected-communists and other "subversives," initiating the nation's first Red Scare. Immigrants deemed to be pro-communist or else Anarchists --- including Sacco and Vanzetti, now viewed by many civil-libertarians as martyrs to an hysterical attack on First Amendment free speech and free association --- were targeted for deportation and worse.
Further, after entering the war, the U.S. converted many of the interned German ships into U.S. flagged ships and used them for troop transport, among other things. See here and here.

Also of historical note:
Black Tom was only one of a number of homeland attacks in retaliation to the British naval blockade of Germany. In New Jersey, on January 1, 1915, a fire took place at the Roebling Steel foundry in Trenton. And after the Black Tom incident, on January 11, 1917, a fire took place at the Canadian Car and Foundry plant in Kingsland. These facilities had contracts for goods being sent to the Allies. The US entered the war on the side of the Allies in April 1917, after numerous claims of German espionage and violations to American neutrality.
A fairly recent book about the Black Tom Explosion is The Detonators: The Secret Plot to Destroy America and an Epic Hunt for Justice by Chad Millman. A review of the book here:
If, like me, you thought that the 9/11 attacks were the first terrorist attacks on U.S. soil then you are sadly mistaken. The Detonators, Chad Millman’s new book brings back to life a forgotten dark chapter in American history during WWI when German spies and saboteurs ran rampant through the U.S. blowing up factories and poisoning cattle with anthrax while no one stopped them, largely because our incredibly naïve President Wilson refused to believe that Germans would be doing such things.
NPR has an interview with Mr. Millman here.

Just a reminder that, although technology changes and so does the identity of the enemy, there is little new under the sun.

Images from here.

Saturday, June 02, 2007

Target: Naval Surface Fire Opportunity- al Qaeda target in Somalia




According to this, USS Chafee (DDG-90) undertook some Naval Surface Fire Support off Somalia - going after a suspect in the bombings of U.S. embassies in 1998:
The destroyer USS Chafee fired her deck guns at two or three suspected "high-value terrorist targets" in the Puntland area along the northern coast of Somalia on Saturday, U.S. officials told NBC News. The suspects are accused of taking part in the 1998 bombings of the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania.

According to the officials, the U.S. had "actionable intelligence” gathered by U.S. Special Operations Forces and local tribal leaders that the suspects were in the area.
Note that the operation was along the Puntland coast. 20 5-inch rounds (off Vietnam we'd have considered that "warming up the guns"). No BDA yet, though I suspect the international whining has already begun.

Info on 5"/62 weapon system here.
UPDATE: More info on the gun system here.

Kennedy Airport Pipeline Plot


Headline sums it up: 4 Charged in Plot to Bomb Kennedy Airport:
Federal agents and New York City police said today that four people have been charged with conspiring to bomb Kennedy International Airport.

The plot involved a former airport worker in his 60s, who is a United States citizen of Guyanese descent and lives in New York, and a former member of the Guyanese parliament, who is also an imam. Both men, along with one other, are in custody, law enforcement officials said today.

Authorities are seeking the fourth man.

If convicted, the men could face a maximum sentence of life in prison.
The pipelines in question seem to be part of the Buckeye Partners system:
During the 1960's and 1970's, the company built the first products pipeline through the streets of New York City in order to serve the three major airports and commercial customers in that metropolis.
Map shows entire Buckeye system.
There seem to be a number of tank farms located in the area around the airport.

UPDATE: Some background on al Qaeda in the Caribbean (including Trinidad) here.

UPDATE2: Corrected spelling of "Buckeye."

Somali pirates take another ship


Reported here:
MV Al Aqiq, owned by Dubai-based Naseem Al Berrary Shipping Company was hijacked along with its 14-member Indian crew near Hobyo when it was heading for Kisamayu after unloading a part of cargo in Somalia’s restive capital of Mogadishu, sources in Dubai said.

The vessel, according to sources, was taken to an unknown destination and the pirates were demanding ransom. The 1000-ton vessel had departed from Dubai 20 days ago with general cargo.

Meanwhile, MV Mariam Queen, which was hijacked on May 2, in Kisamayu was released yesterday and is currently sailing towards Mogadishu, Andrew Mwangura, of the Kenyan branch of Seafarers’ Assistance Programme told Khaleej Times from Mombasa. Its crew is safe, he said.
The impact of getting food aid into Somalia is noticed here:
The lives of thousands of Somalis who are desperate for food aid are being threatened by heavily armed pirates operating off Africa's east coast.

The United Nations World Programme has called for international action to tackle piracy saying the flow of relief supplies into the country is under severe threat as some ships are refusing to sail because of the fear of attack.

At a warehouse in Mombassa, Kenya thousands of tonnes of food are waiting to be transported to the the thousands of Somalia's displaced by conflict, famine and floods.

But the aid is being held up by the pirates as the seas around the Horn of Africa become too dangerous to risk the shipment. Five vessels and about 50 seamen are currently being held hostage off the coast.

Road transport, although costly and time consuming, has now become the most reliable way to deliver the much needed aid.

"We are highly dependant on sea transport and in a way that becomes difficult because eventually we will run into serious problems. And in all fairness, maybe not so much the WFP will run into serious problems but the people of Somalia will run into serious problems," Peter Goosens, Somalia director for the World Food Programme, told Al Jazeera.

China policy shift?

This piece seems to think so:
Two years after Donald Rumsfeld bluntly criticized China's rapid military buildup, Defense Secretary Robert Gates struck a conciliatory tone toward Beijing on Saturday, saying the United States and China have the opportunity to "build trust over time."

In a speech delivered from the same podium where Rumsfeld, his predecessor, said in 2005 that China's growing arsenal of ships, missiles and submarines threatened Asia's security balance, Gates steered away from a direct challenge to China about its military modernization and said he was hopeful about future dealings between the two countries.

"I believe there is reason to be optimistic about the U.S.-China relationship," Gates said, at an annual gathering here of defense ministers from the Pacific region.

Gates briefly raised concerns that China's actual military spending appears to far outpace its publicly stated budget. But the speech and comments by Pentagon officials in Singapore make it clear that the Pentagon - which has long taken a hawkish view toward China's intentions - is hoping to lower the temperature in the relationship between the two powers.

The Albanian Factor


Some analysis of things happening in the Balkans, especially Albania, as a visit By President Bush nears in a troubled region, as found here:
Along with the invasion of Iraq, Guantanamo is one of the main issues to have angered Albania’s Islamist groups. Since some of these groups have shadowy foreign sponsors, the Americans are obviously taking no chances with security. On May 16, an explosion in a Tirana café located very close to the US Embassy injured one waitress. According to the Associated Press, “police are investigating who was responsible and what sort of device was used.”

Most recently, on May 30, “a plastic bag containing a few grams of explosives was found at 2 p.m. [in] a courtyard at the economics faculty of Tirana University, about 100 meters [from] the U.S. Embassy,” reported the IHT, adding that “half an hour later, a package containing 30 grams (1 ounce) of explosives was found at Mother Teresa Square, near the office of President Alfred Moisiu.”

While it cannot be proven, it is not beyond the realm of possibility that these were deliberate plants by the authorities made in order to scare citizens into accepting the draconian security measures that will be in place for Bush’s visit. Indeed, Tirana residents are likely to feel more than a little restricted. According to BIRN, the Albanian capital will be turned into “a high-security zone.” This apparently means “a complete shut down of traffic in the capital and rooftop snipers on every major building along the route of the Bush motorcade… most residents of apartment blocks close to places Bush is expected to visit will be prohibited from appearing on their balconies.” For the record, the preparations are being made under direction of the US Secret Service by a working group headed by Deputy Premier Gazmend Oketa.

Saturday Reading

The 65th Anniversary of the Battle of Midway is upon us. It's a good time to review the forces that were lined up in oppostion. One place to start is with Steelhaw Scribe's Countdown to Midway series on the Air Order of Battle. See also here.

CDR Salamander, meanwhile, continues his "Fullbore Friday" series with a look at some heroism in smaller ships at the landings on Iwo Jima here.

Happy reading!

Friday, June 01, 2007

Mr. President: Close the Border!

"First things first"

Close the borders and get control of who comes and goes. Or, as Peggy Noonan says here,
If they'd really wanted to help, as opposed to braying about their own wonderfulness, they would have created not one big bill but a series of smaller bills, each of which would do one big clear thing, the first being to close the border. Once that was done--actually and believably done--the country could relax in the knowledge that the situation was finally not day by day getting worse. They could feel some confidence. And in that confidence real progress could begin.
Get control of the borders. Then we can talk about what to do with the 12 -20 million illegals in our midst.

Loch Ness monster?


You decide: Story Man says he captured Loch Ness on film There's video available, too.

UPDATE: I suspect thousands of people have "captured Loch Ness on film" - and that may be all this guy caught, but there is some allegation that he also caught "Nessie" on film -- a point the headline by AP misses by just a little.



The Indian Navy's Way Ahead


Topic of a major Commanders' Conference held recently reported here:
Indian Navy is being 'adequately geared' to neutralize the threat of any sea borne terrorist strikes against its vast coastline including strategic offshore and onshore installations, according to Naval Chief Admiral Sureesh Mehta.

Pointing out that maritime security in the Indian Ocean region had become 'complex, fluid and significantly challenging with a large presence of extra regional forces,' Mehta said this had led to 'dramatic increase in asymmetric threats' to the nation.

He said these threats would come from non-state actors and portended the most challenging probable contingencies in the region. The sea-borne terrorist strike was in sharp focus at the top naval commanders' conference being held for the first time in Vishakapatnam based Eastern Naval Command headquarters. The conference was presided over by the naval chief.

"The trend is likely to continue in the foreseeable future," Mehta said, warning that that it was essential that Navy was adequately geared to confront such threats. The naval chief told his top commanders that efforts should be to make the navy an operationally focused force capable of dealing with changing environment of the 21st century.

Fighting fishing "piracy" or maybe it's fighting "poaching"


Greenpeace is happy that some big corporate food producers are joining in the cause of responsible fishing and intelligent* use of natural fish stocks, as set out in Seafood giants join forces to combat pirate fishing in the Barents Sea:
So it was good news to hear that this week eight of Europe's largest seafood companies, including Macdonalds and Bird's Eye, have united to demand better controls on pirates operating in Norway's Barents sea, the last large marine ecosystem in Europe left relatively unspoiled. In a strongly worded letter to the Norwegian government the companies called for them to provide up to date 'blacklists' of all vessels suspected of IUU (Illegal, Unregulated and Unreported - the technical terms for piracy) fishing in the Barents, where one in five cod are caught illegally.
That may be Greenpeace's idea of "piracy" - see here, but according to my dictionary, what they are really talking about is "poaching:"
2. To take fish or game in a forbidden area.
2. To take (fish or game) illegally.
See also this.

Greenpeace explains its use of the word piracy:
Greenpeace considers "pirates" as primarily those fishing vessels that fly "flags of convenience" (FOC). Their vessels sometimes carry no markings at all to mask their identities at sea. Pirate companies often buy and fly "flags of convenience" from countries whose flags are for sale with no questions asked. Pirate vessels use "dummy" or "shell" companies to hide their owners' identities and go to extraordinary lengths to conceal international trade routes.

They do this to dodge fishing rules set by their own countries and the international community.

Vessels servicing FOC fishing vessels at sea (for resupply or transporting fish to market) are also pirate vessels as they ensure that FOC fishing vessels can continue to fish without restriction. This trend has been recognised by governments as a major threat to marine biodiversity.
Earlier posts on "flags of convenience" here and here.


Top photo is from an Australian effort to enforce its laws against incursions of foreign boats into Australian waters. Note that the illegal boat flies no flag. Lower photo from earlier post on "fish wars."

*Of course, one person's "intelligent use" of such resources can be another man's "international socialism."